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Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - March 24

Toronto Maple Leafs v Montreal Canadiens

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Boston Bruins (39-23-8), coming off a 4-2 win over the Detroit Red Wings, host the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-29-13) at TD Garden on Tuesday, March 24 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs lost to the Ottawa Senators 5-2 in their last outing.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which team we think will come out on top in Tuesday's action on the ice.

In the last 10 contests, the Maple Leafs have a record of 2-5-3. They have put up 26 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 34. They have gone on the power play 27 times during that span, and have capitalized with four goals (14.8% of opportunities).

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final tally of Bruins 4, Maple Leafs 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Bruins (-192)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Bruins Splits and Trends

  • The Bruins are 39-23-8 overall and 10-8-18 in overtime matchups.
  • Boston is 14-6-5 (33 points) in its 25 games decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the eight times this season the Bruins finished a game with only one goal, they have a 1-6-1 record, good for three points.
  • Boston has finished 6-8-1 in the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 13 points).
  • The Bruins have scored at least three goals 47 times, and are 32-9-6 in those games (to record 70 points).
  • In the 32 games when Boston has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 16-11-5 to register 37 points.
  • When it has outshot opponents, Boston is 13-10-3 (29 points).
  • The Bruins' opponents have had more shots in 42 games. The Bruins went 26-11-5 in those matchups (57 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have earned a record of 8-13-21 in overtime contests on their way to an overall mark of 29-29-13.
  • Toronto has earned 31 points (11-3-9) in its 23 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal in eight games and they've earned two points (0-6-2) in those contests.
  • Toronto has 15 points (5-11-5) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 41 games, earning 54 points from those contests.
  • Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in 21 games this season and has recorded 18 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 6-8-2 (14 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 53 games. The Maple Leafs went 21-21-11 in those matchups (53 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Bruins Rank Bruins AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
10th 3.3 Goals Scored 3.1 16th
17th 3.06 Goals Allowed 3.46 29th
21st 27.2 Shots 27 22nd
30th 29.9 Shots Allowed 32.4 32nd
7th 23.81% Power Play % 18.82% 20th
25th 77.73% Penalty Kill % 82.72% 4th

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, March 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

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